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Publication - Policy Brief
Subnational income, convergence, and the COVID-19 pandemic
This brief investigates the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on gross national income in Pakistan and its districts. To address the lack of available data, we developed a machine-learning algorithm that can predict economy activity in real time by leveraging administrative, night-light, and other real-time data. Urban districts in Pakistan drove the slow-down in...
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Publication - Synthesis paper
Sudan in the global economy: Opportunities for integration and inclusive growth (Arabic)
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Publication - Policy Brief
Exchange rate reform in Sudan (Arabic)
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Publication - Working Paper
Fiscal federalism in Sudan (Arabic)
Arabic version of the 'Fiscal federalism in Sudan' working paper.
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Publication - Synthesis paper
Sudan in the global economy: Opportunities for integration and inclusive growth
In this paper, we outline evidence that could support government’s strategy to move Sudan towards an economic integration agenda that promotes inclusive growth. Specifically, we outline evidence on how the government could promote trade, investment, and integration. We also consider the role of the domestic banking sector in supporting this. We focus on: Domestic...
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Publication - Working Paper
Fiscal federalism in Sudan
Since independence, there have been numerous decentralisation efforts – many of these have not been fully implemented, in part due to central resistance.
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Publication - Policy Brief
Impact of the COVID-19 lockdown on household food security in rural Bihar
Based on a survey conducted in rural Bihar, this study aims to provide evidence on the impact of COVID-19 on food and nutrition security by focusing on rural vulnerable households. The study shows that food insecurity of rural Bihar’s households increased significantly since the pandemic, and the severity of the impact felt when compared to the diverse marginal...
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Publication - Project Report
Subnational income, convergence, and the COVID-19 pandemic
The COVID-19 pandemic severely affected the growth and subnational distribution of income in low-income countries. To understand these effects, we produce monthly aggregates on gross national income (GNI) for 147 Pakistani districts through real-time data and machine learning between 2012 and 2021. Three findings emerge from our analysis. First, urban districts...
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Publication - Policy Brief
Exchange rate reform in Sudan
Since 2018, Sudan had been in severe economic distress, with a growing divergence between the official and parallel exchange rates and high and rising inflation, fueled by Sudan’s significant fiscal deficit, which reached 11% of GDP in 2019. With limited access to financial markets and concessional financing, Sudan was bridging the fiscal deficit...
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Publication - Policy paper
Carbon credits where credits are due: How Rwanda can generate green investment from electric mobility offsets
Rwanda’s Ministry of Infrastructure is working with the private sector to scale up electric mobility in Rwanda. Rwanda-based electric motorbike company Ampersand, is seeking to generate carbon offsets from the greenhouse gas reductions that its electric motorbikes will generate compared to combustion engine motorbikes, and received initial supported for this purpose from...
Publication - Policy Brief
Responding to imported inflation in Uganda: Distributional impacts and policy options
Inflation is ravaging the world, driven by a combination of post-pandemic supply chain disruptions, a rebound in global demand, and the war in Ukraine. The first round-effects of the global inflation surge in Uganda have occurred via jumps in the prices of seven principal commodities, delivering particularly adverse hits to the incomes of the poor. As a small open...