Global warming and vulnerability to food insecurity in Mozambique: Local adaptation will matter
This policy brief presents findings from a study of climate-related food insecurity in Mozambique, using 2012 data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development.
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Santos and McLeod Policy Brief August 2024.pdf
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- This policy brief presents findings from a study of climate-related food insecurity in Mozambique, using 2012 data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development.
- More than half of the Mozambican households surveyed by the Inquerito Agricola Integrado 2012 (IAI2012) were food insecure, as revealed by an inadequate or poor diet.
- Using machine learning methods, we characterise the heterogeneous relation between local environment, including weather (temperature and rainfall) in 2012, and food security.
- We identify 11 clusters that reflect local environmental conditions, with temperature at the start of the main agricultural production season being the most important determinant of cluster membership.
- The relation between food security and temperature is U-shaped.
- Future research should explore the set of adaptation strategies that is feasible at the local level, given this existing relation.