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Long-range forecasts as climate adaptation: Experimental evidence from developing-country agriculture

Working paper Sustainable Growth

Climate change increases weather variability, preventing farmers from tailoring investments to the upcoming monsoon. In theory, accurate seasonal forecasts overcome this challenge. This paper experimentally evaluates monsoon onset forecasts in India, randomising 250 villages into control, forecast, and benchmark insurance groups.

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Authors

A profile picture of Fiona Burlig

Fiona Burlig

Assistant Professor at the Harris School of Public Policy, University of Chicago

Amir Jina

Postdoctoral Scholar, University of Chicago

Erin Kelley

Assistant Professor, The University of Chicago
A profile picture of Gregory Lane

Gregory Lane

Assistant Professor, The University of Chicago

Harshil Sahai

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Themes
Sustainable Growth
Countries
India
Regions
South Asia