The long-term adoption of grid electricity: Evidence from rural Rwanda

Policy brief Sustainable Growth and Energy

This study examines the long-term effects of a grid extension programme in rural Rwanda, revealing persistently low connection rates and minimal growth in electricity consumption even after ten years. The findings suggest a need to broaden electrification policies beyond just grid expansion, as there is little evidence of significant enterprise development.

• This brief explores findings from a study of a grid extension programme in rural Rwanda seeking to understand the long-run adoption trajectory.  

• The study documents low and stagnant connection rates and minimal growth in electricity consumption up to ten years after community grid connection.  

• There is no indication of noteworthy enterprise creation or of existing enterprises starting to use electricity productively despite widespread connection. 

• These findings support extending debates and policies for electrification beyond the current strong focus on grid electrification.