Regional economic spillovers from the South Sudanese civil war: Evidence from formal and informal cross border trade
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Rauschendorfermand-Shepherd-2020-working-paper1.pdf
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This paper examines the impact of the South Sudanese civil war on trade in East Africa. In a first step, we employ a gravity model to examine the impact of civil conflict on the trade of neighbouring countries in a general sense and conduct a counterfactual simulation for the South Sudanese case.